Minchul Shin

Senior Economic Advisor and Machine Learning Economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

Papers, tutorials, code, and applications for AI-based economic research.

We are only beginning to see what AI can contribute to economic research. This page brings together my ongoing work exploring the field, which I hope will be useful to other economists as well.

Start here

  • Tutorial on AI Autoresearch
    Three examples illustrating how AI can be useful for economic research.
    [Local Copy]
  • Autoresearch Starter Kit
    Want to experience AI-assisted research? Ask your AI agent to read this repository and guide you through what to do next.
    [GitHub]

Research papers and more examples

  • An Auditable AI Agent Loop for Empirical Economics: A Case Study in Forecast Combination
    This paper studies an AI agent that searches for forecast-combination methods. It finds a novel method that genuinely improves out-of-sample forecasting performance. Published in Economics Letters.
    [Paper] [arXiv]
  • Faster VAR computation
    An AI agent tries to improve the computational efficiency of estimating a vector autoregression with stochastic volatility. Materials will be added here.